The 5A, 4A football playoffs start in a week. Who’s in, who’s out and who needs help?
One final weekend separates Idaho’s 5A and 4A high school football teams from the playoffs, setting up a last blitz for spots and positioning.
Fourteen of the Treasure Valley’s 19 teams remain in the postseason hunt. We broke down all the tiebreakers and scenarios by team, so each school’s fans can focus on what matters to them as they scoreboard watch Thursday and Friday.
[Related: 5A to 1A football standings | 5A to 1A football playoff brackets]
5A SIC
The top five teams in the league earn automatic playoff berths. Three at-large berths remain open to teams around the state.
Rocky Mountain, Mountain View, Eagle, Capital and Borah have clinched playoff spots. Skyview, Meridian and Centennial are still in the hunt. Only Boise and Timberline are eliminated.
Rocky Mountain: The Grizzlies (9-0) beat Borah 27-21 on Thursday in a meaningless game for their postseason positioning. Rocky Mountain had already clinched the league title, a first-round bye and home-field advantage until the state championship game entering the week.
Mountain View: The Mavericks (6-2) clinch the league’s second seed, a first-round bye and a home quarterfinal game with a win over Timberline (0-8). They also can secure the second seed with a loss if Eagle also loses.
Mountain View would drop to third with a loss and an Eagle win. It can’t finish lower than third.
Capital: The Eagles (6-3) clinched a first-round home playoff game with a 55-6 win over Boise on Thursday. Capital can finish third in the SIC with an Eagle loss to Centennial on Friday. An Eagle win makes Capital the fourth-place team.
Borah: The Lions (5-4) fell to Rocky Mountain on Thursday, narrowing their range of playoff seeds.
Borah can only finish fourth or fifth in the SIC. An Eagle loss to Centennial earns the Lions the fourth seed and a home playoff game against Eagle in the first round. A win by Eagle drops Borah to fifth place and a road playoff game against Capital.
Eagle: The Mustangs (5-3) have the widest ranges of possibilities. They can finish anywhere from second, third, fifth or sixth in the SIC, needing an at-large playoff berth.
Eagle takes the second seed and a playoff bye by beating Centennial and if Mountain View loses. A win guarantees the Mustangs finish at least third and start the playoffs at home.
A loss sends Eagle on the road. Borah holds the head-to-head win over the Mustangs, ensuring Eagle could finish no better than fifth with a loss. A loss and a Skyview win drops Eagle into sixth place.
Skyview: The Hawks (4-4) clinch a playoff berth by beating Meridian. They can climb to fifth with a win and an Eagle loss. Otherwise they drop into the at-large field.
Even with a loss, Skyview still has a path to the playoffs. Only wins by both Rigby (at Highland) and Lewiston (vs. Lake City) would knock the Hawks out of the playoffs.
Meridian: The Warriors (3-5) clinch an at-large playoff berth with a win over Skyview. If Meridian loses, it still can earn an at-large spot with two losses from the following three teams: Centennial, Rigby and Lewiston.
Centennial: The Patriots (3-5) don’t control their own destiny. Centennial can nab an at-large berth if it beats Eagle, Skyview tops Meridian, and either Lewiston or Rigby loses.
The Patriots can also sneak in with a loss if Lewiston and Rigby both lose.
4A SIC
The top five teams in the league go to the playoffs. None are eligible for at-large berths.
Middleton, Bishop Kelly and Nampa have clinched playoff spots. Vallivue, Columbia and Kuna are still fighting for their postseason lives. Ridgevue, Emmett and Caldwell are mathematically eliminated.
Middleton, Bishop Kelly and Nampa: All three sit tied for first with a 6-1 league record entering the final week. All three are guaranteed first-round home playoff games. And all three have a path to win the SIC title.
Bishop Kelly beat Ridgevue 52-14 on Thursday to move to 7-1. Middleton hosts Columbia (4-4, 4-3) on Friday and Nampa travels to Vallivue (5-3, 4-3) on Friday.
Middleton clinches the league title with a win Friday thanks to BK’s victory and tiebreakers in its favor. The Vikings beat Bishop Kelly head to head. And if Nampa wins, the league uses point differential for a three-way tie with the margin of victory capped at 14 points. Middleton is +7 against Bishop Kelly and Nampa; Bishop Kelly sits even at 0 against Middleton and Nampa; and Nampa is -7.
So even if Nampa wins, Middleton is the league champ, Bishop Kelly second and Nampa third.
Bishop Kelly can win the league title with a Middleton loss. The Knights have a head-to-head win over Nampa. They can’t finish lower than second.
Nampa can no longer win the league title thanks to BK’s win Thursday. It can finish second with a Middleton loss (even if it loses Friday.) Otherwise, the Bulldogs will be the third seed.
Vallivue: The Falcons (5-3, 4-3) would end a seven-year playoff drought and clinch the league’s fourth seed by knocking off Nampa.
Vallivue still can make the postseason with a loss as long as Columbia and Kuna don’t both win. That would force the Falcons into a tie with Kuna for fifth in the SIC. Kuna holds the head-to-head win and tiebreaker.
Columbia: The Wildcats (4-4, 4-3) can guarantee the second playoff berth in program history with an upset at Middleton. A Vallivue win also sends Columbia to the playoffs.
What the Wildcats have to avoid is a three-way tie for fourth place. If all the favorites win Friday — Middleton over Columbia, Nampa over Vallivue and Kuna over Emmett — that creates a three-way tie.
Vallivue holds the tiebreaker in that scenario (+4 against the other two), allowing it to finish fourth. Kuna (0) then takes fifth, leaving Columbia (-4) home for the playoffs.
Kuna: The Kavemen (4-4, 3-4) must win, and they need Vallivue to lose to Nampa to extend their season.
Kuna would earn the league’s fifth and final spot in the playoffs with a head-to-head win over Vallivue. They’d also finish fifth if Columbia and Vallivue both lost.
Kuna can’t finish higher than fifth.
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This story was originally published October 17, 2018 at 4:10 PM.