New poll results from Zions Bank’s Idaho Politics Weekly news site have Donald Trump winning Tuesday’s GOP primary in Idaho, with Ted Cruz second and Marco Rubio third.
The numbers among Republican voters: Trump ahead of Cruz, 30-19. Rubio is at 16 percent. John Kasich is at 5 percent. The poll was conducted before Ben Carson dropped out. He was at 11 percent. “Other” registered 9 percent.
Given Carson’s exit, those numbers aren’t likely to hold on Tuesday. The poll also was conducted before Mitt Romney, a Mormon, denounced Trump. Both factors will likely boost numbers for Cruz and Rubio.
The poll found that 24 percent of Idaho Mormons prefer Cruz. Trump is second among LDS church members, at 18 percent.
To win delegates in Idaho, candidates must win at least 20 percent of the vote. In the IPW poll, both Cruz and Rubio would be out of the money.
In the Democratic race, Bernie Sanders leads Hillary Clinton among Democrats, 47-45, and 42-19 among independents. Idaho Democrats caucus on March 22.
The phone poll of 601 adults was conducted Feb. 17-26 and has a margin of error of four percentage points. Idaho Politics Weekly has done the only publicly-released Idaho polling in the presidential race.