KICKING IDAHOANS IS THE SMARTER POLITICAL PLAY
In Idaho, a politician who takes the right even popular step for his state and constituents flirts with disaster. The politically safe play is to kick the very people who elected you.
Shutting down the federal government and threatening default on the national debt hurt Idaho.
Because it is a poor state, Idaho gets $1.28 back from the federal government for every $1 in taxes it sends back to Washington, D.C.
The Gem State has a disproportionately large number of people who work for federal contractors - such as the Idaho National Laboratory at Idaho Falls and Mountain Home Air Force Base.
Tourism, agriculture, forestry and construction depend on the battalion of federal employees working at the U.S. Department of Agriculture, the Forest Service, Bureau of Land Management, National Park Service and the Small Business Administration.
When 2nd District Rep. Mike Simpson, R-Idaho, joined with 86 House Republicans and 198 Democrats to end the shutdown last week, he was reflecting what most of his constituents needed and wanted. Conversely, when 1st District Rep. Raul Labrador, R-Idaho, voted with 144 of his fellow Republicans to continue the shutdown and default on the national debt, he was acting contrary to Idahos best interests.
Yet its Simpson who is fighting for his political skin.
In a one-party state such as Idaho, the GOP primary election in May is everything; the November general election often is a formality. Hence the campaign to oust Simpson in next years GOP primary. The Club for Growth, an ultra-right-wing political action committee, recruited and financed Simpsons challenger, Bryan Smith of Idaho Falls.
Think about how quickly that game changes if Idaho followed Washington states lead and took away the Republican Partys power to dominate your choices in November. Washingtons Top Two primary winnows out all but the candidates who emerge in first and second place. It doesnt matter if its a Republican and Democrat, two Republicans, two Democrats or a pair of independents. Whoever gets the two highest number of votes advances to the general election. Were Idaho a Top Two state, all Simpson would need do is come in second to wind up on the November ballot.
Then, the final decision would go to the 318,500 people who vote in the 2nd Congressional Districts general election.
That larger, more balanced group would lean toward the middle. Someone who voted to end the government shutdown would be rewarded, not castigated.
And what about Labrador? You hear a bunch of grumbling from business groups and traditional Republicans looking to oust tea party members of Congress just like him. In Labradors district, its virtually impossible. Only 71,920 people voted in the 1st district GOP primary last year, and Labrador won four of every five.
But consider how Top Two alters the equation. Again, getting on the November ballot doesn't require a centrist to beat Labrador. Second place is good enough.
Then general election math takes over. Labrador bested then-Congressman Walt Minnick, D-Idaho, in 2010 by 24,046 votes out of 247,427 cast. Starting with Minnicks base, a centrist Republican challenger would work to persuade 12,050 people to change their minds about Labrador.
All it takes is a campaign to put an initiative creating a Top Two primary on the 2014 election ballot and then have 53,751 registered Idaho voters willing to sign a petition.
Thats too late for the 2014 primary and its no miracle cure for what ails Idahos politics.
But its a start.