If Raul Labrador were a sophomore basketball player at Kentucky, the smart money would press him to quit school and enter the NBA Draft.
If Labrador really aspires to be governor, 2014 looks like his year. I say this after watching the Republican play an adoring crowd like a cross between Jack Kennedy and Jerry Seinfeld.
Labrador received a standing ovation as he entered the Meridian City Council Chamber last Thursday. During a 90-minute Q&A, he was interrupted by applause like a president at a joint session. He delivered punchlines that had 200-some fans howling with laughter.
At the close, he could have sold food supplements. What I do is really difficult, Labrador said. But it would be more difficult if I didnt get the kind of reception that I received when I walked in this room.
Running next year could mean challenging Gov. Butch Otter, who has continually held statewide or congressional office for 26 years. Three things would make Labrador leap: family, fearlessness and the fleeting nature of fame.
Labrador, 45, is beginning his third year in Congress. Hes still sleeping on a mattress in his Capitol Hill office, while his wife raises the family in Eagle. He gets four-day weekends but the cross-country commute is a bear, and he makes no bones about missing the four of his five kids still at home.
He made his name as a risk-taking legislator who defied Otter on electing a GOP party chairman and transportation funding, and won what was considered a long-shot GOP primary in 2010 before unseating an incumbent.
Otter, 70, would be formidable because of decades of good will, hearty backing from big funders and a distrust of Labrador among Main Street businesspeople.
But Labradors popularity might never be higher. His profile hit new heights with his snubbing of Speaker John Boehner, which brought praise from questioner Carol Menges. It must not have been real pleasant, she said.
Oh, it was a breeze, he replied.
Labrador gets media attention spanning from four Meet the Press appearances to his maiden interview with conservative radio host Hugh Hewitt, who talked with Labrador about immigration last week.
Beautiful job! George Prang told Labrador. I was so surprised to hear you come on there.
Prang wanted to talk about the botched Fast and Furious gun-running sting and Labrador said he still hopes to force out Attorney General Eric Holder. Labrador reminded a crowd that didnt need reminding that Holder couldnt place him during a House hearing. Anticipating another such moment, Labrador said, He didnt know what state I was from. Im going to put a little plaque under my name that says Idaho, so he always remembers me.
Labrador blamed both parties for the countrys debt crisis. We always complain as Republicans that Democrats love to tax and spend, but the problem is that Republicans love to borrow and spend, he said.
He also noted cultural differences. One of the things that scares me the most is people who live and work in Washington are completely unaware of what you are going through. ... Its because everyone in Washington thinks this is Monopoly money.
Mixed with that populism, Labrador also brought tough love. When Alan Fox urged him to quit calling Social Security an entitlement, Labrador said, Yes, youve paid into it, but just realize that most people who live a full life are going to take out a lot more than they put into the system. Thats why it needs reform.
He promised to defend gun rights after an armed Charles Porter said the Second Amendment is a line in the sand and a deal breaker, and all bets are off if any restrictions pass. Labrador said he backs a legal process to strip the mentally ill of their guns.
Frank Root asked why the Obamas have been able to travel so widely on the taxpayers dime. Labrador said Congress has been reluctant to leash presidents, but added, Can you imagine a Republican president going to Hawaii in the middle of a recession?
Then, Labrador allowed, I have to be a little bit understanding that the president is from Hawaii but he was immediately interrupted by laughs, groans, boos and applause. He smiled broadly, waved his hands and finally said, Enough! OK?
I understand thats where his home is and he has to go there, bringing more laughter. But Labrador then drew a line between himself and the birthers. Yes, I think he was born in the United States and that we just need to live with it. The way to defeat him is to defeat him at the ballot box.
Later, I asked Labrador to assess how big a proportion of the GOP primary electorate was represented in the Meridian crowd and what it augured for a governors race.
I dont know, he replied. I do know that Im proud of the work were doing. I think Im doing the right thing right now. The people of Idaho give me that reception everywhere I go.
Labrador knows events can swiftly change the political landscape. If he wants to seize the moment, hell do so soon.
Dan Popkey: 377-6438, Twitter: @IDS_politics